Selected Tweets

It's time for some tweets.

If you want to share any tweets with me please send me email or dm on twitter. 

Thanks for reading.

"Opportunities don't happen. You create them." Chris Grosser

"Success is walking from failure to failure with no loss of enthusiasm." Winston Churchill

                                                                                                                          
$TDG TransDigm Inc and The Power of Pricing

"TransDigm Inc and The Power of Pricing". Full report.$TDG ,via @225Researchhttps://t.co/mRlGYECkSd

— Darío González (@dario_gnzalez) September 15, 2019

                                                                                                                          
$VVV Thread

$VVV core business masking high ROIC growth of quick lubes. Multiple should rise over time as quick lube EBITDA becomes a larger percentage of total EBITDA. pic.twitter.com/8ENC8DxxDZ

— soonervaluecap (@soonervaluecap) September 14, 2019

                                                                                                                          
$BDX Thread

$BDX incremental returns on tangible capital, 2012-2018 pic.twitter.com/zrfYMbuN6r

— WTCM (@WTCM3) September 14, 2019

                                                                                                                          
$MA Thread

1) $MA Investor Community Meeting 2019

Presentation Link: https://t.co/LJwiGccgLG

Transcript: https://t.co/8rdEHNdvVL pic.twitter.com/bLfyHqkRHR

— Jerry Capital (@JerryCap) September 13, 2019

                                                                                                                          
$JKHY Value Investor Club Write-Up

VIC $JKHY write-up: " $JKHY is a capital 🚨compounder 🚨 "https://t.co/hJNoqIbVVj

— Jerry Capital (@JerryCap) September 13, 2019

                                                                                                                          
$SDC Smile Direct Club and $ALGN Align Tech. discussion

Hard to tell what the best play is. I bet $algn pricing has to come way down, but not sure $sdc is a great business if they're the one commositizing the industry. Big TAM, but the economics of going after it are getting worse and worse.

— Pythia Cap(ital) (@PythiaR) September 12, 2019

                                                                                                                          
$MSFT Teams vs $WORK Slack

Slack vs. Teams DAUs pic.twitter.com/VSecVafqZH

— WTCM (@WTCM3) September 12, 2019

                                                                                                                          
Mechanics of raising capital in IPO - $PTON

Thread on some mechanics of raising capital in IPO and the resulting market cap afterwards, with adjustments for dilution from options, for anyone interested. $PTON #peloton https://t.co/EJInHt4xuz

— Inquisitive Investor (@QuisitiveInvest) September 11, 2019

                                                                                                                          
Semiconductor industry resource

If you've ever been interested in the semiconductor industry, here's an insane resource: https://t.co/5iAPedvcB9

— Ryan Reeves (@investing_city) September 11, 2019

                                                                                                                          
$MTCH Match.com Thread

$MTCH @ Deutsche Bank Technology Conference with CFO Gary Swidler

"if you look at $MTCH brands in Canada, which we think is the best analogue to the US, it behaves quite similarly to the US, if you look at our Tinder, Match, OkCupid and PoF brand in Canada, which are...

— Jerry Capital (@JerryCap) September 11, 2019

Selected Tweets

It's time for some tweets.

If you want to share any tweets with me please send me email. 

Thanks for reading.

"Win the race as slowly as you can. Don’t take chances." Mario Andretti

"The crowd remembers the crashes, the driver remembers the near crashes." Mario Andretti

"If you're so afraid of failure, you will never succeed. You have to take chances. " Mario Andretti

$SQ Thread

August 2014: $SQ acquires food delivery service Caviar for $90M in stock.

August 2019: SQ sells Caviar to DoorDash for $410M in cash/preferred stock.

Not a bad return on investment and positions SQ as neutral platform for all food delivery services to participate.

Nice.

— Matthew Cochrane (@FoolMCochrane) August 1, 2019

$TWOU Thread

I underestimated just how quickly things are changing in education.

"I wouldn't expect the same growth trajectory" actually turned out to be "have come to a grinding halt."

Increasing online competition is *really* hurting $TWOU's business. Here's a look at what's going on. https://t.co/nkb8bzTJWR

— Simon Erickson (@TMFInnovator) July 31, 2019

$CHGG Thread

Chegg $CHGG Q1 2019

- Revenue up 27%
- S&M up just 3% YoY
- Non-GAAP EBIT up 96% YoY (32% margins)
- FCF up 71% (22% margins)
- 2.2 million subscribers (up 29%)

Here are my notes from the earnings call...

— Ryan Reeves (@investing_city) August 2, 2019

$FND Thread

$FND SSS +3% and +14.4% on 2y stack basis

— WTCM (@WTCM3) August 2, 2019

$ALGN Thread

1) Yesterday, after posting my month-end performance summary, I objectively reviewed all my holdings. I do this regularly to remain objective and remove my own biases from the equation.

After going through each company, it dawned on me that $ALGN is no longer suitable for my...

— Puru Saxena (@saxena_puru) August 2, 2019

$Z, $ZG Thread

Zillow Offers (its home-flipping business) is a fairly bold bet by an internet company which primarily has made money selling ads on its website. $ZG $Z

— Luis V. Sanchez (@LuisVSanchez777) July 31, 2019

Charts Thread

Ice cream production during the Great Depression

(@nberpubs) pic.twitter.com/baZvSGbIvX

— Plan Maestro (@PlanMaestro) July 31, 2019

$APPL earning thread

Apple just released 3Q19 earnings:

$53.8 billion of revenue
$2.18 EPS

My estimates were:

$52.9B of revenue
$2.10 EPS

— Neil Cybart (@neilcybart) July 30, 2019

$CIGI Thread

$CIGI - Think the market has the EPS reaction wrong... Guidance hasn't changed and investment mgm't AUM has ramped significantly in the quarter (to $30.3 bn from $26.7 bn in Q1). Flow thru should mean $20+ mm of incremental EBITDA on a full year runrate basis.

— ValuewithaCatalyst (@ValuewaCatalyst) July 30, 2019

$CSU.TO, $CNSWF Thread

According to Mark Leonard, retaining the best sort of talent is “the internal execution issue that poses the greatest threat to our continued success” pic.twitter.com/E4Ny45EOoR

— Paul Barnes (@LennyIce) January 13, 2019

Selected Tweets

It's time for some tweets.

If you want to share any tweets with me please send me email. 

Thanks for reading.

"The essence of business to me is great people run great companies. Mediocre people don't do a very good job." Kenneth Langone

"You can have a phenomenal technology with bad people; you're not gonna have much success. You can have mediocre technology with great people; they'll figure out a way to make a buck." Kenneth Langone

$PYPL Thread

1/ PayPal $PYPL reported its 2019 Q2 earnings results last night and is trading down about 4% today, so let's talk about it...

TL;DR: Another solid quarter, rev came in at $4.31B, +12% YOY, non-GAAP EPS $0.86, +47% YOY.

But those numbers come w/ some caveats...

(cont)

— Matthew Cochrane (@FoolMCochrane) July 25, 2019

Funny $CHWY Thread

Saw Einhorn short $CHWY and figured I'd flip through the investor presentations... and then saw this photo in their shareholder letter.

IMO you'd have to be out of your mind to short something this cute.https://t.co/rW3JdFe656 pic.twitter.com/7hzBDyKRTC

— Andrew Walker (@AndrewRangeley) July 25, 2019

$FB Thread

1) $FB Q2 2019

- The $FB FCF machine will go into overdrive as we lap the investment cycle in 2020/2021

- $FB generated $4.8 billion in FCF in the quarter, has $48.6 billion in cash, and bought back approximately $1.1 billion of shares. pic.twitter.com/b5BSpkCH9J

— Jerry Capital (@JerryCap) July 25, 2019

$ALGN Thread

(1) Thread on $ALGN @DarkSideOfTheSt @Butler60S @bluff_capital @jonathanrockoff @LibertyRPF @victoriouscake @LSValue @WallStCynic

— CT Capital (@CrowdedTradeCap) March 28, 2019

Brief history of Visa $V

Brief History of Visa https://t.co/u6zqYbT2kz

— Mine Safety (@MineSafety) May 29, 2019

Why REITs trade at a discount to PMV? - thread $SLG, $VNO

Thought this was a really interesting exchange on the $SLG earnings call.

Typical question is why REITs trade at a discount to PMV; analyst inverts and asks if discounts are hitting PMV.

Company says no; buyers prefer private real estate for illiquidity + no mark to market. pic.twitter.com/T3rINBCT8E

— Andrew Walker (@AndrewRangeley) July 19, 2019

$NFLX Thread

1) Winbrun wrote a $NFLX long thesis on VIC on June 26 2016 @ $86/share here is his/her post: https://t.co/IPxaszr56H

While the price has changed the long thesis has IMO not. I wanted to add in a thread of his comments over the last two years.

— Jerry Capital (@JerryCap) July 24, 2019

$ELS Thread

$ELS 2Q19: "we increased occupancy by 204 sites YTD, and this quarter marks our 39th consecutive quarter of occupancy growth. Customer demand to live in our communities continues to be high. The ownership transfer activity within our communities shows the strength of the market."

— WTCM (@WTCM3) July 24, 2019

$AZO Thread

#1 @iancassel Ian posted some eye popping figures about $AZO Autozone and its fantastic run since 1999. Time for a mini-AZO tweet storm! https://t.co/wgRxEIDncu

— EightTrack (@EightTrack180) July 15, 2019

Earnings quality and credit

Let's talk about earnings quality and credit. 43% of syndicated loan deals featured Ebitda addbacks in the first half of this year. That's a record proportion, according to BAML. If you strip those addbacks out, Ebitda/Interest coverage levels on loans are the lowest since 2005. pic.twitter.com/nwSb8kwZiv

— Tracy Alloway (@tracyalloway) July 22, 2019

Quotes from The Meaning of It All: Thoughts of a Citizen-Scientist By Richard Feynman

1) Some quotes from The Meaning of It All: Thoughts of a Citizen-Scientist By Richard Feynmanhttps://t.co/KTA36PcPzZ pic.twitter.com/WIFLcnXjaK

— Jerry Capital (@JerryCap) July 25, 2019